Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Stocks I'm watching, 12/1

FSII - I like it over ~2.70, a break of the declining tops line from the failed gap-fill in July



IMGN - pushing through a tangle of moving averages. Watching for continuation move over the 20dma


IMAX - Watching over the declining tops line, ~20.00-ish. Needs more volume, though...


MHO - breaks out over ~9.20



Sunday, March 27, 2011

Setups for week of 3/28/11

Some long setups I've been posting to Twitter this afternoon for the coming week (assuming of course that the market cooperates) plus a few others I've found since.




LLNW Really like the look of this one through the 20- and 50-day




LSCC Similar chart to LLNW, one I lost money on last month when the market turned south. Will look to add if it gets through overhead resistance in the form of those two moving averages.




EGI One to watch if gold stocks move this week and it can power through the 3.10 to 3.18 area




FNSR An old favorite I traded in the teens late last year before it took off towards 40.00. Looks to be rebounding but I'm not sure where I'd add it. Probably on a successful retest and hold of the 200sma.




LCRY I like this one through the 20-day with volume.




EGHT Upward momentum, MACD, Stochastics pointing up. Would love to revenge-trade this one for losses I took in January :)



$DRYS Like the look of this chart. Looking for a move through the 50-day on volume to continue the momentum




$BRNC flagging on low volume. May need a day or two to work off over-bot conditions but looks good over high of 11.12




$BEE looking good for continued momentum this week




$AMCN China stock that got killed the last month. Potential rounded bottom. STO, MACD, RSI all pointing up. Stop under 4.50. Swing buyer beware on China stocks, though!

Sunday, January 2, 2011

Mission more or less accomplished

Little did I know coming into 2010 on the back of a 10k gain in the first nine months of my trading life that the year just passed would be my Year of the Reset.

I was dealt some harsh lessons early on by the sordid and unpredictable penny stock world, learned that some stocks never come back — or if they do, they'll require endless patience as your precious capital is tied up for months, even years before you're able to get it back — and finally acquired the fortitude and emotional detachment to take losses early or, if not early enough, then before they become horrendous.

These are, of course, lessons that are as timeless as they are obvious but it seems that learning them is a rite of passage for any successful trader and having done so allowed me to carry out what I christened Operation:Salvage back in the summer — to offload the big losers that had been dragging on my portfolio for months on end by earning the money back through disciplined, successful trading and ending the year flat.

I'm pleased to say that I was pretty much successful; by capitalizing on the "Santa Claus rally", the year-end melt-up in the market, I was able to end 2010 with a small profit that just about offsets the paper losses in four loser stocks that remain in my portfolio, the sale of which would produce such meagre returns that I'm better off holding them in case of an unexpected spike that would allow me to recoup more cash or, less likely, get out close to break even.

The bulk of my success in '09 came from swing-trading biotech stocks, not to mention some serendipity — I was holding shares in HGSI when they announced the surprising success of their phase III Lupus drug trials — and though that sector was again a nice source of trading revenue in 2010, I made little headway with the run-up method, passing up some nice gains in ALXA and AVNR, and generally losing track of the FDA calendar altogether by the end.

Instead, I ramped up my day-trading activity with more and more emphasis on intraday breakouts while focusing on select swing trades in momentum stocks like HDY. That will continue to be my plan in early 2011, with a short-term goal of lightening up my swing positions very early in January because who knows when what has to be an imminent correction of at least 5% kicks in. We've had a great run since September and in December particularly so a pullback will be healthy for what many predict will be a profitable year for the markets.